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Paper 111 -- Examining the Temporal Evolution of Propagated Delays at Individual Airports: Case Studies

Delay propagation is a well-known phenomenon within the global air transportation system. Specifically, because of equipment and crew connectivity, a flight delayed early in the day can induce delays to multiple flights later in the day. In this paper we investigate this phenomenon by developing a statistical model that predicts the average flight delay after a given breakpoint time b, based on the average delay before b. We then vary b and are able to quantify the extent of delay propagation and understand its temporal evolution. We estimate this model for several U. S. airports and are able to compare these airports with respect to their delay propagation characteristics.
Theme: Active ATM Performance Management
Posted by: Andrew Churchill / Other authors: David Lovell, Michael Ball
Note: Unset Received On Jan 26, 2007

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