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Paper 145 -- EVALUATING THE PERFORMANCE OF NEXTGEN USING THE ADVANCED CONCEPTS EVALUATION SYSTEM

This paper describes a delay analysis of the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), as it was envisioned in the summer of 2006, using the Advanced Concepts Evalua-tion System (ACES). The operational concepts underlying NextGen are described, followed by the modeling techniques and assumptions used. The resulting performance analysis utilizes both good and bad weather days, and accounts for both terminal-area weather effects and time-varying enroute convective weather. The NextGen performance is evaluted using flight delay metrics, and is analyzed in terms of the overall mean as well as the distribution of the delay, which is found to fit a leptokurtic Power Law curve. Results suggest substantial delay savings of the order of tens of millions of dollars per day system-wide with the implementation of end-state NextGen concepts.
Theme: Active ATM Performance Management
Keywords: ATM Modeling, Airport Capacity, JPDO, NAS Analysis, Simulation, Discrete Event Modeling, weather delays
Posted by: Frederick Wieland
Note: Unset Received On Jan 27, 2007

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